Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.254111 0.271804 0.290530 0.311897 0.335687 0.361462 0.391634
2025-02-23 0.219369 0.245622 0.275411 0.312077 0.356504 0.409277 0.477770
2025-03-02 0.193376 0.223702 0.259903 0.307107 0.368288 0.446801 0.558546
2025-03-09 0.175012 0.207548 0.247939 0.303089 0.378677 0.482391 0.643007
2025-03-16 0.160849 0.194532 0.237680 0.298865 0.386790 0.514758 0.729028
2025-03-23 0.152981 0.188473 0.235320 0.304253 0.408138 0.568902 0.862106
2025-03-30 0.143179 0.178818 0.226918 0.299706 0.413537 0.598600 0.961331
2025-04-06 0.133084 0.167910 0.215706 0.289598 0.408532 0.609662 1.028213
2025-04-13 0.124333 0.158225 0.205406 0.279704 0.402343 0.617182 1.089742
2025-04-20 0.120010 0.154421 0.203213 0.281925 0.416283 0.663251 1.250966
2025-04-27 0.116899 0.152091 0.202925 0.286980 0.435577 0.723212 1.471362
2025-05-04 0.112952 0.148275 0.200073 0.287484 0.446628 0.768755 1.677102
2025-05-11 0.108256 0.143227 0.195195 0.284497 0.451477 0.803782 1.878492
2025-05-18 0.104059 0.138742 0.190964 0.282349 0.457926 0.844762 2.130957
2025-05-25 0.099564 0.133578 0.185344 0.277286 0.457963 0.870962 2.353798
2025-06-01 0.095716 0.129206 0.180714 0.273568 0.460246 0.903505 2.633095
2025-06-08 0.092175 0.125128 0.176307 0.269849 0.461992 0.935233 2.943820
2025-06-15 0.090526 0.123889 0.176439 0.274443 0.482262 1.023457 3.656834
2025-06-22 0.087407 0.120191 0.172256 0.270530 0.482966 1.055628 4.106217
2025-06-29 0.083624 0.115294 0.165822 0.261836 0.471653 1.048580 4.293140
2025-07-06 0.080092 0.110676 0.159667 0.253307 0.459889 1.037965 4.453710
2025-07-13 0.078588 0.109249 0.158882 0.255223 0.473223 1.113046 5.471318
2025-07-20 0.077573 0.108561 0.159318 0.259580 0.493179 1.218721 7.169954